RISK-NEUTRAL OPTION PRICING METHODS FOR ADJUSTING CONSTRAINED CASH FLOWS
作者:
JOHNR. BIRGE,
RACHELQ. ZHANG,
期刊:
The Engineering Economist
(Taylor Available online 1999)
卷期:
Volume 44,
issue 1
页码: 36-49
ISSN:0013-791X
年代: 1999
DOI:10.1080/00137919908967507
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Standard procedures for evaluating future cash flows are to find an appropriate discount rate consistent with the cash flow's risk and then to derive a present value. While discounted cash flows seem appropriate for many instances, finding appropriate discount rates is often difficult, or discount rates may not exist when the risk is actually a function of a decision that requires the cash-flow valuation. We consider two approaches that have been suggested to alleviate this problem: the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the risk-neutral pricing arguments from option theory. We discuss the assumptions inherent in these models and show the results on the well-known news vendor model. Our option pricing results correspond to Singhal's [17] results using CAPM and a different valuation procedure for the option pricing model. We, however, derive a simpler expression that clearly illustrates differences from the standard form ignoring risk.
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