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Use of time‐series methods in the preparation of quarterly estimates of vital events

 

作者: Georgia R. Roberts,  

 

期刊: Canadian Journal of Statistics  （WILEY Available online 1988）
卷期: Volume 16, issue S1  

页码: 75-82

 

ISSN:0319-5724

 

年代: 1988

 

DOI:10.2307/3315217

 

出版商: Wiley‐Blackwell

 

关键词: Time‐series models;demographic projections

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

AbstractThis paper considers the problem of producing quarterly estimates of provincial and national vital events. Modern time‐series methods would appear to be a promising tool for the short‐range forecasts required for the birth, death, and marriage series. Considerations in the choice of a suitable model are described, and a possible model for the marriage data is illustra

 

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