首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 Pitfalls in Population Forecasts and Projections*
Pitfalls in Population Forecasts and Projections*

 

作者: HaroldF. Dorn,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1950)
卷期: Volume 45, issue 251  

页码: 311-334

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1950

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1950.10501127

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

This paper reviews the development of demography, and especially of population forecasting, and discusses the current demographic situation. The merits and limitations of several methods of making population predictions, and errors in demographic thinking are examined. The complexity of the problem of making forecasts either for short periods or long-time trends with the techniques now available is pointed out.

 

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