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Bayesian Resolution of the “Exchange Paradox”

 

作者: Ronald Christensen,   Jessica Utts,  

 

期刊: The American Statistician  （Taylor Available online 1992）
卷期: Volume 46, issue 4  

页码: 274-276

 

ISSN:0003-1305

 

年代: 1992

 

DOI:10.1080/00031305.1992.10475902

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Newcomb's paradox;Noninformative prior;Symmetry arguments

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

In this article we present a paradox that can be used to illustrate Bayesian principles in the classroom. The paradox is also resolved using a frequentist argument and illustrates how the misapplication of a symmetry argument causes problems.

 

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