An Analysis of Estimators of Trends in Southern Pine Beetle1Populations2
作者:
James A. Gagne,
Terence L. Wagner,
Paul E. Pulley,
John D. Cover,
Robert N. Coulson,
期刊:
Environmental Entomology
(OUP Available online 1981)
卷期:
Volume 10,
issue 1
页码: 31-38
ISSN:0046-225X
年代: 1981
DOI:10.1093/ee/10.1.31
出版商: Oxford University Press
数据来源: OUP
摘要:
Two estimators of trends inDendroctonus frontalisZimmerman populations are evaluated. One estimator is brood increase ratio, R*, the brood beetles emerging per parent. The other is within-tree survival, S*, the brood beetles emerging per egg. The sampling distributions of R* and S* were studied using computer simulations. Both R* and S* are biased, always overestimating R and S, but S* is less biased and more consistent than R*. The distributions of R* and S* become less biased and more peaked as sample size increases.The validity and sensitivity of tests of hypotheses based on R* and S* are discussed. Because the distributions of R* and S* are not normal, the estimators should be used cautiously in tests of hypotheses that assume normality. Besides the statistical problems inherent in using R* and S*, there are problems in gathering sufficient data to calculate the estimators reliably. Complete dissection of bark samples and precise timing of sampling are vital.
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