Background This study was performed to determine independent predictors of long-term outcome after percutaneous balloon dilation of congenital pulmonary valve stenosis. Smaller follow-up series of patients after balloon pulmonary valvuloplasty have shown inconsistent results regarding the independent relation between prognostic factors and long- term outcome, as many patient selection and technical factors are correlated.=36 mm Hg or further treatment of pulmonary stenosis requiring repeat balloon pulmonary valvuloplasty or surgical therapy. Significant independent predictors of a suboptimal long-term outcome included an earlier study year of the initial valvuloplasty (adjusted odds ratio, 0.71 per consecutive year), a small valve hinge point diameter (0.81 per 1-mm increase), and a higher immediate residual gradient (1.32 per 10 mm Hg increase). A smaller ratio of balloon to valve hinge point diameter significantly predicted suboptimal outcomes for patients with valve morphologies classified as typical (0.52 per 0.1 increase in ratio) and complex (primarily postsurgical valvotomy, 0.43) but not for patients with dysplastic (0.95) or combined morphologies (dysplasia with commissural fusion, 1.01). Patient age, the presence of Noonan's syndrome or associated cardiac lesions, pre-balloon valvuloplasty hemodynamic parameters, and the use of a simulta neous double-balloon technique did not independently predict follow-up outcomes.Conclusions Accurate prognostication after balloon pulmonary valvuloplasty depends on the careful determination of valvar anatomy. The use of an appropriate ratio of balloon to valve hinge point diameter in the setting of typical valve morphology will optimize the chance of long-term success. (Circulation. 1994;89:1751-1759.)