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Mortality Risk and Life Expectancy

 

作者: KamerudDana B.,  

 

期刊: Journal of the Operational Research Society  (Taylor Available online 1989)
卷期: Volume 40, issue 2  

页码: 199-200

 

ISSN:0160-5682

 

年代: 1989

 

DOI:10.1057/jors.1989.25

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

关键词: differential approximation;life expectancy;life tables;mortality risk

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractChanging the mortality risks we face would change human life expectancy. As a special case, one could imagine adding a fixed incrementRto all the age-specific mortality rates from age zero upwards. For this case we seek a constantK(A) such thatK(A) xRapproximates the resulting change in life expectancy remaining at ageA, at least for small values ofR. The formula forK(A) derived here corrects a heuristic argument that appeared in JORS earlier. An estimate ofK(0) suggests that the permanent addition of a one-in-a-million risk at each year of life would reduce life expectancy at birth by about 1 day—a useful fact for risk communication.

 

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