Mortality Risk and Life Expectancy
作者:
KamerudDana B.,
期刊:
Journal of the Operational Research Society
(Taylor Available online 1989)
卷期:
Volume 40,
issue 2
页码: 199-200
ISSN:0160-5682
年代: 1989
DOI:10.1057/jors.1989.25
出版商: Taylor&Francis
关键词: differential approximation;life expectancy;life tables;mortality risk
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
AbstractChanging the mortality risks we face would change human life expectancy. As a special case, one could imagine adding a fixed incrementRto all the age-specific mortality rates from age zero upwards. For this case we seek a constantK(A) such thatK(A) xRapproximates the resulting change in life expectancy remaining at ageA, at least for small values ofR. The formula forK(A) derived here corrects a heuristic argument that appeared in JORS earlier. An estimate ofK(0) suggests that the permanent addition of a one-in-a-million risk at each year of life would reduce life expectancy at birth by about 1 day—a useful fact for risk communication.
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