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Uncertainty Methods in Expert Systems

 

作者: ENRIQUE CASTILLO,   ELENA ALVAREZ,  

 

期刊: Computer‐Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering  (WILEY Available online 1990)
卷期: Volume 5, issue 1  

页码: 43-58

 

ISSN:1093-9687

 

年代: 1990

 

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8667.1990.tb00040.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

The paper introduces the main measures of uncertainty and discusses some of the problems associated with conventional uncertainty propagation methods, such as those based on independent probabilities and the methods used with certainty factors, belief, and possibility functions. Some examples show the importance of the associated errors. Alternative methods, such as log‐linear regression and causal networks or influence diagram models, are discussed. Finally, their structural and parametric learning possibilities are analyze

 

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