Forecasting Daily Hog Prices and Quantities: A Study of Alternative Forecasting Techniques
作者:
R.M. Leuthold,
A.J. A. Maccormick,
A. Schmitz,
D.G. Watts,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1970)
卷期:
Volume 65,
issue 329
页码: 90-107
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1970
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1970.10481064
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Relatively few investigations treat the problem of short-run or daily price and quantity variations. This study concerns forecasting daily hog prices and quantities in selected terminal markets in the U. S. by using various causal and noncausal models. The purpose is to examine the economic and mathematical characteristics of the time series data, and then compare the developed models in terms of their forecasting ability. The performance of each model is evaluated using the Theil coefficient.
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