A STOCHASTIC MODEL FOR RESERVOIR FLOOD OPERATION
作者:
J. F. CRUISE,
V. P. SINGH,
期刊:
Civil Engineering Systems
(Taylor Available online 1996)
卷期:
Volume 13,
issue 2
页码: 141-155
ISSN:0263-0257
年代: 1996
DOI:10.1080/02630259608970192
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
关键词: Reservoir operation;stochastic modeling;stochastic hydrology
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
A stochastic streamflow model is used to develop a risk methodology for operation of reservoirs. The model is based upon representation of the flood series as a Poisson counting process. From this model, probability distributions of maximum peak flows, durations, and interarrival times can be obtained. With these distributions known, the flood volumes can be obtained using a triangular hydrograph approximation. Using the derived distribution functions, risk evaluation curves are developed which aid the reservoir operator in making important real time decisions. The procedure can also be used to evaluate the efficiency of alternative design strategies.
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