首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 Inference and Predictions from Poisson Point Processes Incorporating Expert Knowledge
Inference and Predictions from Poisson Point Processes Incorporating Expert Knowledge

 

作者: Sylvia Campodónico,   NozerD. Singpurwalla,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1995)
卷期: Volume 90, issue 429  

页码: 220-226

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1995

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1995.10476505

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Expert knowledge;Logarithmic-Poisson process;Nonhomogeneous Poisson process;Power-law process;Reliability analysis;Software reliability

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

We present a Bayesian approach for inference and predictions from nonhomogeneous Poisson point processes. The novel feature of our approach is the use of “expert knowledge” or “engineering information” on the mean value function of the process. We describe two scenarios from the field of reliability in which engineering information on the mean value function is available. The first scenario pertains to the prediction of software failures during the debugging phase. Here expert knowledge is provided by the published empirical experiences of software engineers involved with the testing and debugging of several software systems. The second scenario pertains to the prediction of defects in a rail segment for which expert knowledge is supplied by an engineering model.

 

点击下载:  PDF (702KB)



返 回