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Clinical and laboratory predictors of survival in Gambian patients with symptomatic HIV‐1 or HIV‐2 infection

 

作者: Hilton Whittle,   Arinze Egboga,   Jim Todd,   Tumani Corrah,   Andrew Wilkins,   Edward Demba,   Gareth Morgan,   Michael Rolfe,   Neil Berry,   Richard Tedder,  

 

期刊: AIDS  (OVID Available online 1992)
卷期: Volume 6, issue 7  

页码: 685-690

 

ISSN:0269-9370

 

年代: 1992

 

出版商: OVID

 

关键词: Predictors;survival;Gambians;HIV-1;HIV-2

 

数据来源: OVID

 

摘要:

ObjectivesTo determine which clinical and immunological features of patients with symptomatic HIV-1 and HIV-2 infection best predict survival in The Gambia.MethodsAll patients presenting to two hospitals in The Gambia between January 1987 and June 1990 with symptoms or signs suggesting chronic HIV infection were tested for HIV-1 and HIV-2 antibodies. Eighteen HIV-1 and 31 HIV-2-infected patients were recruited to the study, investigated intensively on admission and followed up until the end of 1990. Presenting clinical features, such as Karnofsky score, diagnosis of AIDS according to World Health Organization Bangui or Centers for Disease Control criteria and number of associated infections, together with five immunological measurements, as well as type of HIV infection, were related to length of survival using proportional hazard models fitted to Kaplan-Meier plots of survival times.ResultsKarnofsky score and diagnosis of AIDS were the best clinical predictors of survival. Type of HIV infection or number of associated infections did not predict outcome. The most powerful laboratory predictors were logeserum neopterin level, CD4 cell count and logeserum β2-microglobulin (β2M) level. The estimated median survival times (90% confidence interval) of the HIV-1 and HIV-2-infected patients were six (4–11) and 13 (9–20) months, respectively. These survival times do not differ significantly.ConclusionsThe Karnofsky score and measurements of serum neopterin or β2M, which are easier and cheaper to perform than CD4 counts, may prove to be useful guides to prognosis for HIV infection in Africa.

 

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