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A note on the finite-sample distribution of lagrange multiplier tests for univariate time series models

 

作者: C. Andy,   C. Kwan,  

 

期刊: Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation  (Taylor Available online 1993)
卷期: Volume 22, issue 4  

页码: 1135-1160

 

ISSN:0361-0918

 

年代: 1993

 

DOI:10.1080/03610919308813146

 

出版商: Marcel Dekker, Inc.

 

关键词: ARMA models;Empirical power;Empirical significance levels;Finite-sample distribution;Lagrange multiplier test

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Godfrey's (1979) Lagrange multiplier (LM) test for examining the adequacy of an autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) process of order (p,q) is based on testing restrictions, r, against an alternative of ARMA (p+r,q) or ARMA (p,q+r). This paper investigates the finite-sample distribution of the LM test for different choices of r. Additionally, the effect of the nature of the data on the empirical performance of the test is examined. Monte Carlo results indicate that (i) the chi-squared approximation to the distribution of the LM test may fail when the value of r is large relative to the sample size, (ii) its empirical variances are consistently less than the theoretical value even when the sample size is as large as 100, and (iii) the empirical power of the LM test can be significantly affected by both the choice of r and the nature of the data (seasonal vs. non-seasonal data).

 

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