PRICE LEVEL UNCERTAINTY, SAVING, AND LABOR SUPPLY
作者:
ARTHUR SNOW,
RONALD S. WARREN,
期刊:
Economic Inquiry
(WILEY Available online 1986)
卷期:
Volume 24,
issue 1
页码: 97-106
ISSN:0095-2583
年代: 1986
DOI:10.1111/j.1465-7295.1986.tb01799.x
出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
This paper derives the implications, for individual saving and labor supply, of increased uncertainty about the future price level. The framework for the analysis is a two‐period model in which saving and labor supply are alternative sources of both present disutility and future income. The individual is assumed to make simultaneously his saving and labor supply decisions prior to the resolution of the uncertainty about the future price level. We find that, under theoretically plausible and empirically relevant assumptions about attitudes toward risk, an increase in future price level uncertainty increases individual saving and labor supply. These results imply that, for the economy as a whole, increased uncertainty about the future price level increases output and employment, while decreasing the real rate of interest, the present price level, and economic welfar
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