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Current- and Constant-Dollar Input-Output Forecasts for the U.S. Economy

 

作者: RogerH. Bezdek,   RobertM. Wendling,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1976)
卷期: Volume 71, issue 355  

页码: 543-551

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1976

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1976.10481527

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Utilizing recently deflated and reconciled U.S. Department of Commerce input-output data from 1947, 1958, 1961, 1963, and 1966, this paper presents an empirical test of the accuracy of input-output forecasts in current dollars and in constant dollars. While the results vary considerably among industries, in general constant-dollar forecasts are more accurate in the long run while in the short run the results are mixed. The implications of these findings for input-output forecasting and research are discussed.

 

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