Current- and Constant-Dollar Input-Output Forecasts for the U.S. Economy
作者:
RogerH. Bezdek,
RobertM. Wendling,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1976)
卷期:
Volume 71,
issue 355
页码: 543-551
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1976
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1976.10481527
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Utilizing recently deflated and reconciled U.S. Department of Commerce input-output data from 1947, 1958, 1961, 1963, and 1966, this paper presents an empirical test of the accuracy of input-output forecasts in current dollars and in constant dollars. While the results vary considerably among industries, in general constant-dollar forecasts are more accurate in the long run while in the short run the results are mixed. The implications of these findings for input-output forecasting and research are discussed.
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