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On the Classical Ruin Problems

 

作者: Lajos Takács,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1969)
卷期: Volume 64, issue 327  

页码: 889-906

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1969

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1969.10501021

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

In the early years of the eighteenth century A. De Moivre, N. Bernoulli, and P. R. Montmort found three solutions for the following problem of games of chance: Two players, A and B, play a series of games. In each game, independently of the others, either A wins a counter from B with probabilitypor B wins a counter from A with probabilityq(p+q= 1). The series ends if either A wins a total number ofacounters from B or B wins a total number ofbcounters from A. What is the probability that A wins the series in at mostngames? Denote this probability byPn(a,b). In this paper simple and elementary proofs are given for the various formulas forPn(a,b). Furthermore, it is shown how these formulas can be applied in the theories of order statistics, random walks, storage, queues, Brownian motion, and dams.

 

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