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The Age-Incidence of Death from Smoking

 

作者: SamuelH. Preston,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1970)
卷期: Volume 65, issue 331  

页码: 1125-1130

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1970

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1970.10481148

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

A supplementary method of demonstrating the mortality risk from smoking (or obviously from any other “risk factor”) is proposed. By subjecting cigarette smokers to two mortality risks, one the non-smokers' death rate and the other the “excessive” death rate of smokers, a multiple decrement life table for smokers can be computed. From this table, one can determine the probability of death as a direct result of cigarette smoking for a person aged 37 who continues his present cigarette habit for the remainder of his life. The probability of death from cigarette smoking before age 87 ranges from a low of 12.5 percent for females to a high of 50.7 percent for males who inhale deeply.

 

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