A Quarterly Econometric Model of the United States
作者:
LowellE. Gallaway,
PaulE. Smith,
期刊:
Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Taylor Available online 1961)
卷期:
Volume 56,
issue 294
页码: 379-383
ISSN:0162-1459
年代: 1961
DOI:10.1080/01621459.1961.10482122
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
Simplicity in an econometric model may often be a virtue provided that the model performs its particular predictive function in a reasonably competent manner. The following model, while minimizing computational difficulties, demonstrates fairly accurate forecasting ability and a partial explanation, via an accelerator, of postwar fluctuations in the gross national product of the United States.
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