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Estimating the Reliability of Systems Subject to Imperfect Repair

 

作者: LynR. Whitaker,   FranciscoJ. Samaniego,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1989)
卷期: Volume 84, issue 405  

页码: 301-309

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1989

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1989.10478770

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

This study of statistical inference for repairable systems focuses on the development of estimation procedures for the life distributionFof a new system based on data on system lifetimes between consecutive repairs. The Brown—Proschan imperfect-repair model postulates that at failure the system is repaired to a condition as good as new with probabilityp, and is otherwise repaired to the condition just prior to failure. In treating issues of statistical inference for this model, the article first points out the lack of identifiability of the pair (p, F) as an index of the distribution of interfailure timesT1,T2, …. It is then shown that data pairs (Ti, Zi) (i= 1, 2, …) render the parameter pair (p, F) identifiable, whereZiis a Bernoulli variable that records the mode of repair (perfect or imperfect) following theith failure. Under the assumption that data of the form {(Ti, Zi)} are drawn via inverse sampling until the occurrence of themth perfect repair, the problem of estimating the parameter pair (p, F) of the Brown—Proschan model is studied. It is demonstrated that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator ofFexists only in special cases, but that a neighborhood maximum likelihood estimator [Fcirc] (using the language of Kiefer and Wolfowitz 1956) always exists and may be derived in closed form. Under mild assumptions, the strong uniform consistency of [Fcirc] is demonstrated, as is the weak convergence of an appropriately scaled version of [Fcirc] to a Gaussian process. It is noted that these results apply to other experimental designs, such as renewal testing, and that they can be extended to the age-dependent imperfect-repair model of Block, Borges, and Savits (1985).

 

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