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Competing risk theory approach to the nature of the outcome of conception

 

作者: SUDDHENDU BISWAS,   VIJAYKUMAR SEHGAL,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1987)
卷期: Volume 18, issue 10  

页码: 1899-1908

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1987

 

DOI:10.1080/00207728708967162

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

An attempt has been made to obtain the probabilities of pregnancy termination by live birth, still birth and abortion, in any particular order, assuming that the termination of pregnancy is associated with three competing ‘risks’, i.e. live birth, still birth and abortion, which need not necessarily operate at the same point of time. A probability model has been constructed to obtain the conditional probability of live birth/still birth/abortion given that the previous pregnancy has been terminated by a particular one of the three. The correlation coefficient between the outcomes of two particular consecutive pregnancy terminations, viz. live birth and reproductive wastage (which includes both abortion and still birth), has also been obtained. Given data pertaining to sample correlation coefficients between the nature of consecutive orders of the outcomes of conception from first to sixth, an exercise has been undertaken to estimate parameters relating to the ‘hazard’ rates of live births, still birth and abortion. The exercise further enables one to test the well-known demographic hypothesis that reproductive wastages follow each other in succession over consecutive orders of the outcomes of conception.

 

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