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Accident Rate Potential: An Application of Multiple Regression Analysis of a Poisson Process

 

作者: DonaldC. Weber,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1971)
卷期: Volume 66, issue 334  

页码: 285-288

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1971

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1971.10482255

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Various accident frequency models have appeared in the literature which predict the distribution of future accidents based on the number of past accidents. This article presents a method for deriving such distributions using several predictive criteria. It is assumed that an individual's accident experience is a Poisson process with the parameter a linear function of criterion variables. An iterative weighted least-squares procedure is used to solve the system of maximum likelihood equations required for estimating this parameter and a large sample test procedure is illustrated. The tenability of the model is viewed in the light of actual data.

 

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