首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 Uncertainty Analysis and Simulation Modeling for Lake Okeechobee Research Prioritization
Uncertainty Analysis and Simulation Modeling for Lake Okeechobee Research Prioritization

 

作者: KennethH. Reckhow,   NicholasG. Aumen,  

 

期刊: Lake and Reservoir Management  (Taylor Available online 1997)
卷期: Volume 13, issue 1  

页码: 44-48

 

ISSN:1040-2381

 

年代: 1997

 

DOI:10.1080/07438149709354295

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: lakes;eutrophication;decision analysis;uncertainty;models;Florida;research

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

A decision analytic framework and the USEPA mechanistic water quality model WASP4 were used to prioritize research and monitoring needs to address the water quality management objective,reduce algal blooms to an acceptable levelin Lake Okeechobee. With the WASP4 model as a scientific assessment framework, proposed research and monitoring projects should be evaluated for their effectiveness in reducing WASP4 prediction uncertainty. Sensitivity analysis based on either model calculations or expert judgment may be used to estimate the reduction in prediction uncertainty associated with proposed projects. A utility-based approach can then be developed to select from among proposed research and monitoring projects. Selected projects may be expected to provide scientific information to reduce model prediction uncertainty for the use of the model in decision making.

 

点击下载:  PDF (438KB)



返 回