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Yule's Association Paradox and Ignored Stratum Heterogeneity in Capture—Recapture Studies

 

作者: JosephB. Kadane,   MichaelM. Meyer,   JohnW. Tukey,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1999)
卷期: Volume 94, issue 447  

页码: 855-859

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1999

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1999.10474190

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Capture–recapture;Census;Reparameterization;Simpson paradoxes

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

This article explores a reparameterization of a 2 × 2 table. This reparameterization turns out to be useful in considering the consequences of amalgamating several 2 × 2 tables. A formal theorem is derived that permits characterization of Yule's association paradox. The same theorem also permits discussion of the likely direction of error incurred when using capture–recapture methods to estimate the size of a population. This has implications for the “wily trout” argument in the census correction controversy.

 

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