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An evaluation of some models to predict airborne pollen concentration from meteorological conditions in stockholm, sweden

 

作者: Björn Bringfelt,   Inga Engström,   Siwert Nilsson,  

 

期刊: Grana  (Taylor Available online 1982)
卷期: Volume 21, issue 1  

页码: 59-64

 

ISSN:0017-3134

 

年代: 1982

 

DOI:10.1080/00173138209427680

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Statistical models to predict daily airborne pollen concentration from meteorological conditions have been evaluated using several years' data from Stockholm. ForBetulapollen values for the multiple correlation coefficient (R) were up to 0.8 using a model describing the seasonal course as well as the day-to-day variation. Models of this kind cannot interpret causally pollen variation. However, the daily temperature values from early spring have a large influence on the time of the beginning of the pollen season and also on the subsequent day-to-day variation. Based on this study, pollen forecasts have been initiated in Stockholm in the spring of 1981.

 

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