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What are PERT Estimates?

 

作者: WilliamsT. M.,  

 

期刊: Journal of the Operational Research Society  (Taylor Available online 1995)
卷期: Volume 46, issue 12  

页码: 1498-1504

 

ISSN:0160-5682

 

年代: 1995

 

DOI:10.1057/jors.1995.209

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

关键词: PERT

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractThis paper questions what network parameter-estimates really are. This follows recent papers on Parkinson's law, on the relationship with Management by Objectives, and on the historical basis on which these estimates are made. An underlying distribution is proposed that follows from these points—both a general shape and a pragmatic approximation—which can be shown to reflect behaviour found in practice, and has indeed been used in practical risk analysis.

 

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