Evaluating the effects of automobile safety regulation
作者:
John D. Graham,
Steven Garber,
期刊:
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management
(WILEY Available online 1984)
卷期:
Volume 3,
issue 2
页码: 206-224
ISSN:0276-8739
年代: 1984
DOI:10.1002/pam.4050030204
出版商: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
AbstractAutomobile safety standards adopted because of federal legislation have, according to many researchers, failed to save lives; safer cars, they infer, induce more dangerous driving. Results from the major study suggesting this conclusion are shown, however, to be quite sensitive to reasonable changes in the empirical model. An alternative statistical analysis of death rates supports a very different conclusion: Safety standards have saved tens of thousands of lives during the 1970s. More broadly, the article illustrates some general pitfalls in using statistical results in policy analysis, and how they can be avoided.
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