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Estimating Hot Numbers and Testing Uniformity for the Lottery

 

作者: Richard Johnson,   Jerome Klotz,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1993)
卷期: Volume 88, issue 422  

页码: 662-668

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1993

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1993.10476320

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Likelihood ratio test;Maximum likelihood estimators;Sampling without replacement

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

We consider the problem of estimating probabilities for the different numbers in a lottery when the winning numbers are selected sequentially without replacement. Numerical methods are developed to compute maximum likelihood estimates of the probabilities and their variance-covariance matrix based on observed outcomes. The generalized likelihood ratio statistic –2 ln(λ) for testing equiprobable numbers is also given. The methods are applied to a data set from the Lotto America lottery. The properties of the procedure are studied by simulation.

 

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