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Evaluation of the bias of the isotonic regression

 

作者: K. O. Ott,   H. -J Hoffmann,  

 

期刊: Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation  (Taylor Available online 1988)
卷期: Volume 17, issue 3  

页码: 745-764

 

ISSN:0361-0918

 

年代: 1988

 

DOI:10.1080/03610918808812691

 

出版商: Marcel Dekker, Inc.

 

关键词: isotonic regression;bias;evaluated by simulation;applying isotonic regression to constant-failure-rate data

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

The systematic error (bias) of the isotonic regression analysis of temporal spacings between failure events is investigated by means of numerical simulation. Spacings that are sampled from an exponential distribution with a constant failure rate (CFR) arc subjected to an isotonic regression search for a declining failure rate (DFR). The results indicate a considerable declining trend (bias) that is imposed upon these CFR-data by isotonic regression analysis. The corresponding results for an increasing trend can be readily obtained through transformation. For practical applications, the results of 100,000 simulations have been approximated by simple analytical expressions. For the evaluation of a trend in a specific set of isotonized spacings (or rates) the results of the latter analysis can be compared with the isotonic bias of a set of CFR data for the same number of events. Alternatively, the specific set of isotonized spacings can be suitably related to the corresponding isotonized CFR data to reduce the bias by largely eliminating the CFR contribution.

 

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