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Long-stay patients in the pediatric intensive care unit

 

作者: James Marcin,   Anthony Slonim,   Murray Pollack,   Urs Ruttimann,  

 

期刊: Critical Care Medicine  (OVID Available online 2001)
卷期: Volume 29, issue 3  

页码: 652-657

 

ISSN:0090-3493

 

年代: 2001

 

出版商: OVID

 

关键词: length of stay;Pediatric Risk of Mortality Score;severity of illness;long-stay patients;scoring systems;prediction rules;critical care;intensive care;pediatrics;decision support;outliers

 

数据来源: OVID

 

摘要:

ObjectiveLength of stay in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) is a reflection of patient severity of illness and health status, as well as PICU quality and performance. We determined the clinical profiles and relative resource use of long-stay patients (LSPs) and developed a prediction model to identify LSPs for early quality and cost saving interventions.DesignNonconcurrent cohort study.SettingA total of 16 randomly selected PICUs and 16 volunteer PICUs.PatientsA total of 11,165 consecutive admissions to the 32 PICUs.InterventionsNone.Measurements and Main ResultsLSPs were defined as patients having a length of stay greater than the 95thpercentile (>12 days). Logistic regression analysis was used to determine which clinical characteristics, available within the first 24 hrs after admission, were associated with LSPs and to create a predictive algorithm. Overall, LSPs were 4.7% of the population but represented 36.1% of the days of care. Multivariate analysis indicated that the following factors are predictive of long stays: age <12 months, previous ICU admission, emergency admission, no CPR before admission, admission from another ICU or intermediate care unit, chronic care requirements (total parenteral nutrition and tracheostomy), specific diagnoses including acquired cardiac disease, pneumonia, and other respiratory disorders, having never been discharged from the hospital, need for ventilatory support or an intracranial catheter, and a Pediatric Risk of Mortality III score between 10 and 33. The performance of the prediction algorithm in both the training and validation samples for identifying LSPs was good for both discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.83 and 0.85, respectively), and calibration (goodness of fit,p= .33 andp= .16, respectively). LSPs comprised from 2.1% to 8.1% of individual ICU patients and occupied from 15.2% to 57.8% of individual ICU bed days.ConclusionsLSPs have less favorable outcomes and use more resources than non-LSPs. The clinical profile of LSPs includes those who are younger and those that require chronic care devices. A predictive algorithm could help identify patients at high risk of prolonged stays appropriate for specific interventions.

 

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