Estimating the‘Incapacity Time’Caused by Home Accidents Particularly Using Expert Judgements
作者:
HindleTony,
TorkzadehG.,
期刊:
Journal of the Operational Research Society
(Taylor Available online 1985)
卷期:
Volume 36,
issue 3
页码: 193-201
ISSN:0160-5682
年代: 1985
DOI:10.1057/jors.1985.37
出版商: Taylor&Francis
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
AbstractThis paper describes two approaches to the estimation of the‘incapacity time’caused by home accidents: estimates based on the survey of actual accidents and estimates obtained using expert judgements of accident/injury descriptions. The two approaches are compared, and the conclusion is reached that the expert-judgement method is promising. It is demonstrated that estimates can be obtained for a comprehensive range of accidents relatively quickly and inexpensively and that the degree of precision required for decision-making purposes may not justify the high costs and time-scales associated with the survey of actual accidents.
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