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Estimating the‘Incapacity Time’Caused by Home Accidents Particularly Using Expert Judgements

 

作者: HindleTony,   TorkzadehG.,  

 

期刊: Journal of the Operational Research Society  (Taylor Available online 1985)
卷期: Volume 36, issue 3  

页码: 193-201

 

ISSN:0160-5682

 

年代: 1985

 

DOI:10.1057/jors.1985.37

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractThis paper describes two approaches to the estimation of the‘incapacity time’caused by home accidents: estimates based on the survey of actual accidents and estimates obtained using expert judgements of accident/injury descriptions. The two approaches are compared, and the conclusion is reached that the expert-judgement method is promising. It is demonstrated that estimates can be obtained for a comprehensive range of accidents relatively quickly and inexpensively and that the degree of precision required for decision-making purposes may not justify the high costs and time-scales associated with the survey of actual accidents.

 

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