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A Bayesian Test of Some Classical Hypotheses—With Applications to Sequential Clinical Trials

 

作者: Jerome Cornfield,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1966)
卷期: Volume 61, issue 315  

页码: 577-594

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1966

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1966.10480890

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Consider someone who sets out to collect data sequentially in such a way as to disprove a hypothesis,H0, about the value of θ, the mean of a normal distribution. Observation is continued as long as the posterior probability ofH0exceeds α1and stopped when it falls below it. It is shown that if a non-zero prior probability,p, is assigned toH0(0≤α1<p) and the remaining prior probability is spread over alternate values of θ that the probability thatH0will eventually be rejected when true is

 

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