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The Estimation of the Prediction Error Variance

 

作者: E.J. Hannan,   D.F. Nicholls,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1977)
卷期: Volume 72, issue 360  

页码: 834-840

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1977

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1977.10479966

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Stationary time series;Spectral density;Prediction error variance;Fast Fourier transform

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Spectral methods are used to construct an estimate of the variance of the prediction error for a normal, stationary process. The estimate obtained is shown to be strongly consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. Some aspects of the computations with respect to the fast Fourier transform are considered. The latter half of the article consists of a number of simulations, based on both generated and real data, which illustrate the results obtained. The relation between the estimate and that obtained from a high order autoregression is discussed.

 

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