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A Bayesian Approach to the Two-period Style-goods Inventory Problem with Single Replenishment and Heterogeneous Poisson Demands

 

作者: BradfordJohn W.,   SugruePaul K.,  

 

期刊: Journal of the Operational Research Society  (Taylor Available online 1990)
卷期: Volume 41, issue 3  

页码: 211-218

 

ISSN:0160-5682

 

年代: 1990

 

DOI:10.1057/jors.1990.37

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

关键词: forecasting;inventory;statistics

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractThis paper presents a model of the two-period style-goods inventory problem for a firm which stocks many hundreds of distinctive items having heterogeneous Poisson demands. The model uses a Bayesian procedure for forecast and probability revisions based on an aggregation-by-items scheme. These revised forecasts are then incorporated into a model which is used to derive the optimal inventory-stocking policies which maximize expected profit during the season. The model is illustrated using an actual case study of inventory planning for unframed poster art.

 

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