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The detection and estimation of the change point in a disccrete-time stochastic system

 

作者: Zachary G. Stoumbos,  

 

期刊: Stochastic Analysis and Applications  (Taylor Available online 1999)
卷期: Volume 17, issue 4  

页码: 637-649

 

ISSN:0736-2994

 

年代: 1999

 

DOI:10.1080/07362999908809626

 

出版商: Marcel Dekker, Inc.

 

关键词: Bayes Detector;Large Deviations;Likelihood Ratio;Maximum-a-Posteriori Estimator;Measure Transformation;Quality Control;Sequential Detection

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

A piecewise-constant process containing a single jump is observed under noise in the context of discrete time. The conditional density and maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator of the jump time as well as the Bayes detector of the jump itself are determined using the powerful measure transformation approach. The Bayes detector provides a convenient sequential detection rule for practical on-line implementation. An asymptotic result for the distribution of the MAP estimator's estimation error and the corresponding convergence rate are derived. This result provides a reference measure of optimal performance for jump-time estimators in discrete-time stochastic systems that does not depend on the jump time's prior distribution

 

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