首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 A birth cohort analysis of AIDS in Europehigh incidence among young persons at risk
A birth cohort analysis of AIDS in Europehigh incidence among young persons at risk

 

作者: Hans Houweling,   Françoise Hamers,   Fabian Termorshuizen,   O Gill,   Johannes Jager,   Roel Coutinho,  

 

期刊: AIDS  (OVID Available online 1998)
卷期: Volume 12, issue 1  

页码: 85-93

 

ISSN:0269-9370

 

年代: 1998

 

出版商: OVID

 

关键词: AIDS;birth cohort analysis;age;young people;Europe;prevention;public health

 

数据来源: OVID

 

摘要:

Objectives:To study trends in AIDS incidence in Europe by age and year of birth.Design:Age-period-cohort analyses were adopted to distinguish the different time factors of calendar year, age and year of birth.Methods:Non-aggregate AIDS incidence data from 12 European countries (1978–1994) were adjusted for reporting delay and expressed per unit of population (per 100 000 persons or 100 000 person-years). Age-specific incidence patterns (absolute level and rate of increase) were compared between 5-year birth cohorts for homo-/bisexual men, injecting drug users (IDU) and heterosexual contact cases.Results:Mean age at diagnosis increased strongly amongst IDU, but less so among homo-/bisexual men and heterosexual contact cases. Of a total 110 646 reported cases (116 311 after adjustment for reporting delay), 87 167 (78.8%) were among people born in 1950–1974 [91 951 (79.1%) after adjustment for reporting delay]. The relative impact on specific birth cohorts differed strongly by exposure group. Incidences at age ranges of 20–24 and 25–29 years among cohorts born in 1965 and after were about the same level (homo-/bisexual men, IDU) or higher (heterosexual contact cases) than older birth cohorts when these were in the same age range; rates of increase were less among homo-/bisexual men and IDU, but higher among heterosexuals. There were large differences between counties.Conclusions:Overall, AIDS incidence among cohorts born in 1965 and after is about the same level (homo-/bisexual men, IDU) or higher (heterosexual contact cases) than older cohorts when these were in the same age range. Rates of increase of AIDS incidence curves suggest reduced HIV transmission amongst the most recent cohorts of homo-/bisexual men and IDU, but among young heterosexuals the epidemic is still expanding.

 

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