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Dynamic data systems approach to forecasting supply of petroleum products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

 

作者: FARHATA. BURNEY,   MUSTAFAM. AL-IDRISI,   A. ABDULAZIZ,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1994)
卷期: Volume 25, issue 3  

页码: 473-481

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1994

 

DOI:10.1080/00207729408928973

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is playing a key role in the production of petroleum products. Accurate forecasting of the demand/ supply of these products is very essential for proper planning of the refineries of the Kingdom. An overview of the various forecasting methods used for this purpose is presented and a relatively new time series method, dynamic data systems, is applied. Autoregressive moving average models are developed and used for forecasting. A number of statistical tests are applied lo demonstrate that these forecasts are highly accurate and dependable

 

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