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Prediction of stochastic processes using self-tuning principles

 

作者: P. P. KANJILAL,   D. W. CLARKE,  

 

期刊: International Journal of Systems Science  (Taylor Available online 1987)
卷期: Volume 18, issue 2  

页码: 371-388

 

ISSN:0020-7721

 

年代: 1987

 

DOI:10.1080/00207728708963973

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

A constrained minimum-variance prediction using self-tuning ideas is presented. Generalized cost functions are considered which penalize the prediction error as well as several choices of increments of prediction. It is claimed that constraining the prediction increments (or, differences in prediction) leads to more realistic and improved prediction strategies. The proposed formulations are developed on an ARIMAX process model, as it is believed that such a representation is more appropriate in practice. Various features are incorporated into the prediction algorithms to make them particularly suitable for real-time applications.

 

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