Estimating turning points using polynomial regression
作者:
Ram Mudambi,
期刊:
Journal of Applied Statistics
(Taylor Available online 1997)
卷期:
Volume 24,
issue 6
页码: 723-732
ISSN:0266-4763
年代: 1997
DOI:10.1080/02664769723459
出版商: Taylor & Francis Group
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
This paper describes a method for estimating regime switches in non-monotonic relationships, using polynomial regressions. Data from the UK financial services industry are used to illustrate the technique. The methodology provides a means of statistically ascertaining the existence of turning points, as well as a means of locating them, should they exist. While the methodology is most suited to applications that involve cross-sectional data, it may also be useful in short-horizon time series turning point prediction.
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