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A Conservative Confidence Interval for a Likelihood Ratio

 

作者: AnnF. S. Mitchell,   CliveD. Payne,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1971)
卷期: Volume 66, issue 336  

页码: 861-866

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1971

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1971.10482359

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

A method is described for assigning an observation to one of two normal populations with differing, unknown means and differing, unknown variances. The classification procedure rests on the likelihood ratio, which, for a given observation, is a function of four unknown parameters. Sample information is used to obtain a confidence region for these parameters. From this confidence region, a conservative confidence interval for the likelihood ratio is derived. Interpreting the likelihood ratio as a measure of the odds in favor of each population as the source of the observation, the interval can be used, in an obvious manner, for classification purposes. Simulation techniques are employed to examine the conservative nature of the interval. Finally, as an illustration of the method, the results are applied to the determination of authorship of the disputedFederalistpapers.

 

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