首页   按字顺浏览 期刊浏览 卷期浏览 Data Revisions and Economic Forecasting
Data Revisions and Economic Forecasting

 

作者: H.O. Stekler,  

 

期刊: Journal of the American Statistical Association  (Taylor Available online 1967)
卷期: Volume 62, issue 318  

页码: 470-483

 

ISSN:0162-1459

 

年代: 1967

 

DOI:10.1080/01621459.1967.10482921

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

The paper determines whether the earliest published indication of changes in GNP provide information which is useful in the interpretation of economic trends or whether subsequent revisions reveal that the true movements were radically different from those initially reported. An analysis of the provisional and advance data indicated that the initial changes differed from the final changes but still approximated the true pattern of the movements. Some of the data revisions, however, where unsuccessful. A further analysis of the temporal discrepancies in the yearly changes of one series indicates that there is not a wide degree of uncertainty about the actual movements. The combined evidence indicates that the early data are useful for economic analysis.

 

点击下载:  PDF (818KB)



返 回