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An investigation of the harvest decision of timber firms in the south‐east United States

 

作者: Bill Provencher,  

 

期刊: Journal of Applied Econometrics  (WILEY Available online 1995)
卷期: Volume 10, issue S1  

页码: 57-74

 

ISSN:0883-7252

 

年代: 1995

 

DOI:10.1002/jae.3950100505

 

出版商: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

AbstractIn the forestry literature, stochastic extensions of the classic Faustmann model have become the predominant models of optimal harvesting on even‐aged timber stands. A recent attempt to estimate a stochastic version of the Faustmann model left several puzzling results unexplained (Provencher, 1995). This paper reports on new estimation and analyses undertaken to resolve these puzzles. Of particular note is the result that the value of using correct price forecasts in the harvest decision is much lower than indicated by recent simulation studies, perhaps because variability in convenience yield dampens the expected gain from exploiting stochastic variation in timber price

 

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