Some Theory and an Approach to Solving Sequential Multiple-Criteria Decision Problems
作者:
KorhonenPekka,
WalleniusJyrki,
期刊:
Journal of the Operational Research Society
(Taylor Available online 1986)
卷期:
Volume 37,
issue 5
页码: 501-508
ISSN:0160-5682
年代: 1986
DOI:10.1057/jors.1986.85
出版商: Taylor&Francis
关键词: multiple-criteria decision-making;probability theory;sequential decision-making
数据来源: Taylor
摘要:
AbstractThis paper examines a sequential multiple-criteria decision problem. The problem arises when a decision-maker is unable to consider all possible decision alternatives simultaneously. The decision-maker evaluates only a subset of all decision alternatives, from which he chooses the most preferred solution. Obviously, this solution is not necessarily‘globally’best. An interesting question is: how good is the most preferred solution and what are the chances of finding a better solution by considering additional alternatives? A unified approach to solving this problem based on probability theory is presented and illustrated with numerical examples.
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