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Weather‐based models to predict the population densities of melon fruit fly,Dacus cucurbitaeCoq.

 

作者: C. Inayatullah,   L. Khan,   Manzoor Ul‐Haq,   Ata Ul‐Mohsin,  

 

期刊: Tropical Pest Management  (Taylor Available online 1991)
卷期: Volume 37, issue 3  

页码: 211-215

 

ISSN:0143-6147

 

年代: 1991

 

DOI:10.1080/09670879109371584

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Forecasting models;control;population dynamics;Trypetidae;Diptera;Insecta;Pakistan

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Based on the weekly male catches in pheromone traps and weather data for 2 years (1985, 1986), regression models were developed to predict the densities of melon fruit fly,Dacus cucurbitaeCoq., which is an important pest of cucurbit and solanaceous fruits. Among the simple linear regression models, the model SQRT (male counts + 1) = —5.37+0.75 (mean daily temperature in degrees Celsius) was the best, as it explained the highest (68%) variability. The model log(male counts + 1) = —7.54 + 0.35 (maximum temperature) + 0.63 (minimum temperature) —0.02 (maximum × minimum temperature) explained 80% variability, and was considered to be the best for forecasting fruit fly populations.

 

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