ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.21

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

AbstractThis paper describes the critical start-up period of a new Operational Research unit in industry. Four principles for success evolved and are discussed against a background of practical work.

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.22

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

AbstractForecasts of expenditure on schemes of selective financial assistance for industry are required in the context of the Public Expenditure Survey. This paper contains a description of a model which has been developed to assist in the forecasting of expenditure. The model is of the distributed lag type and uses a simple application of Bayes Theorem.

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.23

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

AbstractThis paper describes an investigation into the operations of a peat bog. The company operating the bog wished to explore ways of increasing the output of peat. A short investigation was carried out involving the development of a qualitative model of the operation of the bog. The model helped an understanding to be gained of the impact on output of a range of socio-technical variables, and a programme for change was proposed. A discussion of the nature and purpose of the approach adopted is included.

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.24

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

AbstractThis paper discusses the use of a computerised model for the allocation of a contract for operational work. The contract covers a defined period—normally two or three years, applies to one area or one Region of British Gas and is shared amongst many contractors. Millions of pounds are spent on all these contracts each year. The model was transferred from a mainframe to a microcomputer. The factors influencing this decision are presented, examined and seen to have aspects which apply generally. The study is used as an illustration of the problem of choosing between a mainframe and a microcomputer for an application.

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.25

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

AbstractThis paper presents a method for estimating a non-monetary personal value for death in the context of a decision problem. The method evolved from a case study of a personal decision strategy for choosing whether to receive the swine influenza vaccine, based on the predicted epidemic in the United States in the fall of 1976. Rather than dealing with the decision-maker's assessments of utilities associated with extreme outcomes such as one's own death, the basic approach considers probabilities representing marginal reductions in the probability of death. An application to the swine influenza decision is included.

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.26

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

AbstractThis paper proposes an approximation for the completion time mean and variance of PERT networks in which the durations of individual activities are Normally and independently distributed. The proposed approximation involves the manipulation of distribution parameters only and hence can be computed manually, even for large networks.

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.27

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.28

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.30

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor

ISSN:0160-5682    

DOI:10.1057/jors.1983.31

出版商:Taylor&Francis    

年代:1983

数据来源: Taylor