摘要:

Flood hazard maps were developed using remote sensing (RS) data for the historical event of the 1988 flood with data of elevation height, and geological and physiographic divisions. Flood damage depends on the hydraulic factors which include characteristics of the flood such as the depth of flooding, rate of the rise in water level, propagation of a flood wave, duration and frequency of flooding, sediment load, and timing. In this study flood depth and “flood-affected frequency” within one flood event were considered for the evaluation of flood hazard assessment, where the depth and frequency of the flooding were assumed to be the major determinant in estimating the total damage function. Different combinations of thematic maps among physiography, geology, land cover and elevation were evaluated for flood hazard maps and a best combination for the event of the 1988 flood was proposed. Finally, the flood hazard map for Bangladesh and a flood risk map for the administrative districts of Bangladesh were proposed.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492334

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

Low-temperature scanning electron microscopy (SEM) was used to observe metamorphosed snow, glacial firn, and glacial ice obtained from South Cascade Glacier in Washington State, USA. Biotic samples consisting of algae (Chlamydomonas nivalis) and ice worms (a species of oligochaetes) were also collected and imaged. In the field, the snow and biological samples were mounted on copper plates, cooled in liquid nitrogen, and stored in dry shipping containers which maintain a temperature of-196°C. The firn and glacier ice samples were obtained by extracting horizontal ice cores, 8 mm in diameter, at different levels from larger standard glaciological (vertical) ice cores 7.5 cm in diameter. These samples were cooled in liquid nitrogen and placed in cryotubes, were stored in the same dry shipping container, and sent to the SEM facility. In the laboratory, the samples were sputter coated with platinum and imaged by a low-temperature SEM. To image the firn and glacier ice samples, the cores were fractured in liquid nitrogen, attached to a specimen holder, and then imaged. While light microscope images of snow and ice are difficult to interpret because of internal reflection and refraction, the SEM images provide a clear and unique view of the surface of the samples because they are generated from electrons emitted or reflected only from the surface of the sample. In addition, the SEM has a great depth of field with a wide range of magnifying capabilities. The resulting images clearly show the individual grains of the seasonal snowpack and the bonding between the snow grains. Images of firn show individual ice crystals, the bonding between the crystals, and connected air spaces. Images of glacier ice show a crystal structure on a scale of 1–2 mm which is considerably smaller than the expected crystal size. Microscopic air bubbles, less than 15 μm in diameter, clearly marked the boundaries between these crystal-like features. The life forms associated with the glacier were easily imaged and studied. The low-temperature SEM sample collecting and handling methods proved to be operable in the field; the SEM analysis is applicable to glaciological studies and reveals details unattainable by conventional light microscopic methods.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492335

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

In order to calculate the transmissivity from the inverse problem corresponding to the groundwater flow in an isotropic horizontal aquifer, a numerical conservative approach is tested. The method deals with triangulation of the domain and applies the conservation of mass to elements of the mesh using the harmonic mean for internodal transmissivities. An optimal sweeping algorithm is used to evaluate nodal transmissivities from one element to another with a minimal relative error accumulation. The practical importance of the method is demonstrated through two synthetic examples representing those experienced in the field, then through application to a Moroccan aquifer. The computed hydraulic head is well fitted to the reference one, which confirms the validity of the identified transmissivity model.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492336

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The behaviour of various formulas for evapotranspiration of grass in Nonrestricted soil water conditions is considered. These are the expressions based on the Penman formula, i.e. “old” Penman, Penman-Monteith, Thorn-Oliver and the version recommended more recently by the FAO. Moreover, the Priestley-Taylor and the Makkink formulas are considered, which are radiation-based. Comparisons are made between daily mean values estimated with these formulas and direct measurements. The latter were collected over grass in the period 1979–1982 in the catchment area of the Hupselse Beek (The Netherlands). It was found that if all required input data were measured, the Priestley-Taylor and the “old” Penman formula yielded the best results. The assumption that soil heat flux can be neglected introduces a systematic and a random error of roughly 5%. The empirical estimates for net radiation from sunshine duration, temperature and humidity appear to perform rather poorly. These estimates improved significantly if solar radiation was measured directly. The empirical expression proposed by Slob (unpublished) that requires incoming solar radiation only as input, provided better results than the other more complicated expressions. Moreover, this study reveals that evaporation of unstressed grass is primarily determined by the available energy, i.e. good evaporation estimates can be obtained by using simplyλE= 0.86(Rn− G). The Makkink method appears to be attractive for practical applications. These findings support the use of Makkink's formula for routine calculations of crop-reference evapotranspiration as has been done by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute since 1987.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492337

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The diurnal cycle of convective activity and cloudiness over Lake Victoria, is examined using infrared satellite data. The results indicate that geographically distinct patterns of convection occur. Maximum convective activity occurs over the northwestern quadrant of the lake and tends to occur during the night time. There is a similar pattern in the southwest but the convection is relatively infrequent. In the eastern quadrants convective activity is somewhat weaker than in the northwest, but considerably stronger than in the surrounding catchment. There maximum convection occurs during late afternoon and early evening hours during most months, as over the surrounding land. The influence of the diurnal cycle of cloudiness on evaporation is also assessed, using both two simplistic scenarios and using realistic estimates. The calculations indicate that the actual diurnal cycles have a significant impact on evaporation, such that it ranges from 1527 mm year−1in the northwest to 1164 mm year−1in the southeast.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492338

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

This paper describes a fuzzy rule-based approach applied for reconstruction of missing precipitation events. The working rules are formulated from a set of past observations using an adaptive algorithm. A case study is carried out using the data from three precipitation stations in northern Italy. The study evaluates the performance of this approach compared with an artificial neural network and a traditional statistical approach. The results indicate that, within the parameter sub-space where its rules are trained, the fuzzy rule-based model provided solutions with low mean square error between observations and predictions. The problems that have yet to be addressed are overfitting and applicability outside the range of training data.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492339

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

A graphical test is presented to check if recorded annual maximum flood data for a group of gauging stations in a region belong to a common parent distribution (P). The test compares the observed at site L-coefficient of variation (Lcv) with its sampling distribution. The latter is obtained by generating synthetic sequences from an assumed parent distribution (P). A group of sites is deemed to be homogeneous if the observed Lcv, treated as an order statistic, lies within its sampling distribution. The proposed test has been applied to annual maximum flood data from Tanzania to delineate the country into 12 homogeneous regions.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492340

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

Regional frequency analysis of annual maximum flood data comprising 407 stations from 11 countries of southern Africa is presented. Forty-one homogeneous regions are identified. The L-moments of the observed data indicate that the possible underlying frequency distributions are Pearson type 3 (P3), lognormal 3-parameter (LN3), General Pareto (GPA) or General Extreme Value (GEV). Simulation experiments for the selection of the most suitable flood frequency procedure indicate that Pearson type 3/Probability Weighted Moments (P3/PWM) and log-Pearson type 3/Method of Moments (LP3/MOM) are suitable procedures for the region.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492341

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The spatial scaling properties of annual average streamflow is examined using records from 1 433 river basins across the continental United States. The log-linear relationship ln(E[Qri]) = a + brln(Ai) is representative throughout the United States, where E[Qri] represents the expectation of the rth moment of annual streamflow at site i, and Airepresents drainage area. The scaling model parameters arand brfollow nearly perfect linear relationships ar= rα and br= rβ throughout the continental United States. We conclude that the probability distribution of annual streamflow follows simple scaling relationships in all regions of the United States. In temperate regions where climate is relatively homogeneous, scale alone describes most of the variability in the moments of annual streamflow. In the more climatically heterogeneous regions, such as in the Upper Colorado and Missouri river basins, scale alone is a poor predictor of the moments of annual flow.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492342

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The effects induced on the climate by human activity have become a major issue for the new millennium. In order to arrive at sustainable conclusions it is necessary, first of all, to assess and quantify natural climatic changes. In general this is done by analysing available time series. In the case of historical hydrometeorological data sets, a comparative analysis with solar cycles is not usually conducted. This work, however, demonstrates that the effect of solar cycles observed at the Equator is also visible at middle and high latitudes with multiple periodicity of the basic solar frequency (roughly 11 years). This could well be due to the interaction between solar forcing and circulation mechanisms within the atmosphere, i.e. water-air-soil interactions coupled with anthropogenic forcing. This theory has been tested by comparing different types of historical data series with the River Po discharges and cyclic appearance of slime bloom in the Adriatic Sea.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492343

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor