摘要:

To assess the predictive significance of meteorological parameters for forecasting discharge from the Dokriani Glacier basin in the Himalayan region, discharge autocorrelation and correlations between discharge and meteorological factors were investigated on a monthly and a seasonal basis. Changes in correlations between discharge and meteorological variables, lagged by 0–3 days, were determined. Discharge autocorrelation was found to be very high for each individual summer month and for the melt season as a whole. This suggests that a substantial meltwater storage in the glacier, which results in a delayed response of runoff, and therefore discharge, from the highly glacierized basins is very much dependent on the previous day's discharge. A comparison of correlations between discharge and temperature, and discharge and precipitation shows that temperature has a better correlation with discharge during June and September, while precipitation has good correlation with discharge in July and August. Variations in the physical features of the glacier, weather conditions, and precipitation and its distribution with time over the basin account for changes in correlations. To forecast the runoff from the Dokriani Glacier basin, multiple linear regression equations were developed separately for each month and for the whole melt season. A better forecast was obtained using the seasonal regression equation. A comparison of correlations for the Dokriani Glacier with those for the Z'mutt Glacier basin, Switzerland, illustrates that, for both basins, the previous day's discharge (Qi-1) shows maximum autocorrelation throughout the melt period. Whereas a good correlation between discharge and temperature was observed for the Z'mutt Glacier basin for the whole melt period, for the Dokriani Glacier basin it was strong at the beginning and end of the ablation season. Runoff delaying behaviour in the Dokriani Glacier basin is found more prominent than in the Z'mutt Glacier basin early in the melt season. Water storage appears to be less significant in the Dokriani Glacier than in the Z'mutt Glacier towards the end of the ablation season. The strength of correlation between discharge and precipitation is higher for the Dokriani Glacier basin than for the Z'mutt Glacier basin. This is due to higher rainfall in the Dokriani Glacier basin. In general, for both glacier basins, maximum correlation is found between discharge and precipitation on the same day.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492368

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

High linear correlation between concurrent measurements of net all-wave radiation Q*, and global incoming short-wave radiation Eg↓ was found for hourly, daytime and 24-h totals measured over a grassland catchment in the subhumid climate region of southeastern Australia. Five years of daily measurements were used to study the temporal variability in the fraction of incoming short-wave radiation retained at the surface as net all-wave radiation. When values of ξ = [Sgrave]Q*/[Sgrave]Eg↓ are calculated from 24-h totals and are plotted against date, the results reveal strong day-to-day and seasonal variability in ξ. Analysis indicated that the ξ ratio was largely determined by data, latitude and cloudiness, whilst the nature of the underlying surface appeared to play a less important role. Data from four other grassland sites in Australia, New Caledonia, Denmark and Ireland yielded a general relationship for estimating ξ from day length. Values of [Sgrave]Q* may thus be obtained from [Sgrave]Eg↓ observations using (a) a single regression between [Sgrave]Q* and [Sgrave]Eg↓ (b) monthly ξ values derived from measurements; or (c) monthly ξ values estimated from day length. All three approaches give estimates of [Sgrave]Q* with error terms similar to those of measurements of net all-wave radiation and those found when [Sgrave]Q* was estimated climatologically from the individual elements of the surface radiation balance—the standard method of obtaining this rarely measured but hydrologically important parameter. The hydrological impact of different methods of obtaining [Sgrave]Q* was demonstrated using the semi-distributed VIC catchment model to compute potential evapotranspiration for the 26 km2Lockyersleigh catchment near Goulburn, New South Wales, Australia. The limited hydrological impact found is attributed to the fact that actual evapotranspiration in this subhumid catchment is limited by the strength of the soil water source rather than that of the atmospheric sink-potential evapotranspiration.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492369

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

A six-stage operation policy for routing of flood hydrographs of return periods from 1.01 year up to the Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) for any dam having a gated spillway is proposed. The gate opening rules are determined depending on the recent pool level. Regardless of the size and timing of any incoming floods, the fixed rules of the six-stage operation policy will provide optimum routing for all, which are classified into six different groups based on their return periods. 10-, 100-, 1000-, 10 000- 100 000-year floods, and PMF are the upper limits for the six groups. Next, an Incremental Dynamic Programming programme is developed to optimize both the firm and secondary energies of hydroelectric generation at monthly periods. First, the six-stage flood routing programme is applied sequentially to three dams, all on the Seyhan River in Turkey, for 18 combinations resulting from different active storages, and optimum flood operation policies for all three dams for all 18 combinations are determined. Second, the Dynamic Programming programme is applied to these three dams, and optimum hydroelectricity generation policies for all 18 combinations are computed. Finally, the optimum active and flood retention storages for the three dams are determined so as to maximize the net probability-weighted present worth of hydroelectricity benefits minus flood damage costs.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492370

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

As watershed models become increasingly sophisticated and useful, there is a need to extend their applicability to locations where they cannot be calibrated or validated. A new methodology for the regionalization of a watershed model is introduced and evaluated. The approach involves calibration of a watershed model to many sites in a region, concurrently. Previous research that has sought to relate the parameters of monthly water balance models to physical drainage basin characteristics in a region has met with limited success. Previous studies have taken the two-step approach: (a) estimation of watershed model parameters at each site, followed by (b) attempts to relate model parameters to drainage basin characteristics. Instead of treating these two steps as independent, both steps are implemented concurrently. All watershed models in a region are calibrated simultaneously, with the dual objective of reproducing the behaviour of observed monthly streamflows and, additionally, to obtain good relationships between watershed model parameters and basin characteristics. The approach is evaluated using 33 basins in the southeastern region of the United States by comparing simulations using the regional models for three catchments which were not used to develop the regional regression equations. Although the regional calibration approach led to nearly perfect regional relationships between watershed model parameters and basin characteristics, these “improved” regional relationships did not result in improvements in the ability to model streamflow at ungauged sites. This experiment reveals that improvements in regional relationships between watershed model parameters and basin characteristics will not necessarily lead to improvements in the ability to calibrate a watershed model at an ungauged site.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492371

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

Rainfall and runoff data collected from plots (108 m2) at 1-min intervals allow accurate determination of the time difference between peak rainfall intensity and peak runoff rate. Manning's equation for fully turbulent flows implies that a power function can be used to characterize the relationship between the lag time and peak runoff rate. An exponent close to −0.4 would validate the Manning's equation for overland flow and the coefficient can then be used to estimate the roughness coefficient (Manning's n) during natural storm events. The relationship between the observed lag time and peak runoff rate was investigated for three different surface treatments on a loamy sand: (a) bare fallow, (b) farmers' practice-pineapple beds with bare furrows constructed across the slope, and (c) furrows covered with mulch from residues of previous pineapple crops. Manning's equation was found to be applicable for these treatments and Manning's n is consistently between 0.04 and 0.06. The relationship between lag time and peak runoff rate can be used to model runoff hydrographs at the plot scale. The effect of mulch cover on flow resistance was found to be minimal. Velocity measurements using a dye tracing technique at the same site showed similar results, although the estimated Manning's n was lower. Resistance to flow was significantly increased only when fresh pineapple leaves from a growing pineapple crop were in contact with the soil.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492372

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The importance of high-resolution rainfall data to understand the intricacies of the dynamics of hydrological processes and describe them in a sophisticated and accurate way has been increasingly realized. The present study investigates the general suitability of fractal (or scaling) theory for understanding the rainfall behaviour and transforming rainfall data from one time scale to another. The study, employing a multi-fractal approach, follows the research undertaken earlier by the author (Sivakumar, 2000) employing a mono-fractal approach in which some preliminary indication as to the possibility of existence of (multi-) fractals was obtained. Rainfall data of three different resolutions, six-hourly, daily, and weekly, observed over a period of 25 years in two different climatic regions: a subtropical climatic region (Leaf River basin, Mississippi, USA); and an equatorial climatic region (Singapore) are analysed. The existence of multi-fractal behaviour in the rainfall data is investigated using (a) the power spectrum method; (b) the empirical probability distribution function (PDF) method; (c) the statistical moment scaling method; and (d) the probability distribution multiple scaling (PDMS) method. The results achieved from all these methods for the six different rainfall data sets considered indicate the existence of multi-fractal behaviour of rainfall observed in Leaf River basin and Singapore, providing further support to the results obtained using the mono-fractal approach (Sivakumar, 2000). The suitability of a multi-fractal framework to characterize the behaviour of rainfall observed in the above two significantly different climatic regions, subtropical and equatorial, seems to suggest the general suitability of the fractal theory for transforming rainfall from one time scale to another. Investigations with rainfall data from several other climatic regions are underway with a view to strengthening the above conclusions.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492373

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The rating curve is the most frequently used methodology for continuous river flow measurement. However, to establish a reliable rating curve is difficult, takes time, and is often impossible when the measurement cross-section is unstable. To overcome this difficulty, the use of a modified form of the Manning equation is suggested to express flow rate as a function of hydraulic radius and longitudinal water surface slope rather than of water level alone, as is the case with the classical stage-discharge relationship. This formulation permits one to integrate the development of the river bed geometry and the hydraulic characteristics of the reach explicitly within the rating curve, in a simple way. The procedure is used and evaluated on the Leysse River in Chambéry, France. The results demonstrate the validity and potential of this approach, particularly for extrapolation, when the hydraulic and geometric characteristics are evolving.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492374

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

There is an escalation in the frequency and severity of extreme events due to a number of environmental and/or anthropogenic factors. Droughts and exceptionally wet periods are regional phenomena, which are considered as major environmental extremes, especially in semiarid regions of the world, such as Greece. The development of severity-duration-frequency (SDF) relationships of droughts and wet periods over Greece is important in contemporary hydroclimatic and agroclimatic design and planning in the country. The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is used for a quantitative description of droughts and wet periods. Statistical tests and visual inspection indicate that the EV1 (Gumbel) frequency distribution fits satisfactorily all the identified durations of droughts and wet periods, respectively. Moreover, the SDF curves show that decreasing frequencies (i.e. increasing recurrence intervals) correspond to increasing severities of droughts and wet periods, respectively. The developed SDF relationships are used to produce tables and isoseverity maps of Greece for each identified duration and all the selected return periods or frequencies, which constitute an essential aid for design purposes. The results of the study indicate that there is a decreasing pattern of the severities of droughts and wet periods from west to east and that, for similar durations and return periods, the wet spells are, in general, more extreme than droughts in Greece.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492375

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

A Geographical Information System (GIS) based method is proposed and demonstrated for the identification of sediment source areas and the prediction of storm sediment yield from catchments. Data from the Nagwa and Karso catchments in Bihar (India) have been used. The Integrated Land and Water Information System (ILWIS) GIS package has been used for carrying out geographic analyses. An Earth Resources Data Analysis System (ERDAS) Imagine image processor has been used for the digital analysis of satellite data for deriving the land cover and soil characteristics of the catchments. The catchments were discretized into hydrologically homogeneous grid cells to capture the catchment heterogeneity. The cells thus formed were then differentiated into cells of overland flow regions and cells of channel flow regions based on the magnitude of their flow accumulation areas. The gross soil erosion in each cell was calculated using the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) by carefully determining its various parameters. The concept of sediment delivery ratio (SDR) was used for determination of the total sediment yield of each catchment during isolated storm events.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492376

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The detention storage in a drainage basin under the equilibrium condition is an important parameter in rainfall-runoff modelling. As this parameter is an efficient measure of the basin response to rainfall, it is commonly used as a basis of approximation of a complex basin by a simpler one. For flows on an overland plane, the equilibrium storage has also been used as a basis of determining the resistance coefficient of the overland surface. A formula is derived, based on the kinematic wave theory, for the equilibrium detention storage for a series of planes. For practical applications, the formula is further developed in terms of the Manning resistance coefficient. The derived formulae are all consistent with the published formulae for a single plane.

ISSN:0262-6667    

DOI:10.1080/02626660009492378

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:2000

数据来源: Taylor