ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511553

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511554

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

This paper explores various inference techniques for an intelligent decision support system based on influence diagrams. Rule—based expert systems for decision support have been successful for well-structured, well understood decision situations of a taxonomic classification type. As uncertainty is prevalent, information costly and payoff relevant, and the preferred solution depends on the specific beliefs and preferences of an individual or group decision maker the resolution methods of decision theory embodied in first—order predicate logic forms a natural basis for computerised intelligent decision support. Based on a unified characterisation of knowledge inference procedures for logical probabilistic and decision theoretic reasoning are described in detail.

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511555

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

A system allowing managers to choose suitable strategies for the design of new products is presented. It is a decision support system but several improvements are proposed to incorporate partial expert systems for the completion of tasks such as choice of method for survey data analysis; guidance for market simulation; conclusions drawn from the application of data analysis methods and consumer behaviour analysis; and proposals for the choice of a suitable strategy for market penetration by new products. Experience with the system through its application to the design of a new product for a Greek company is presented.

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511556

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

This paper presents a risk analysis approach applied to cost-and-schedule estimates for construction projects using Intelligent Decision System (IDS) technology. The paper discusses a pilot cost-and-schedule IDS based on influence diagram technology that contains (1) a deterministic model that links and computes specific schedule and cost factors and (2) a risk breakdown structure that describes the parameters influencing these factors. The paper also describes how a user may validate the deterministic and risk models. It concludes by discussing how the IDS calculates the results using a probabilistic engine and how the results are presented to the user.

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511557

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511558

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511559

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511560

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The instructions put together below fall into three categories. The editor of the review would be grateful to authors for respecting these indications. At times, the length of this summary may attain a dozen lines. It is to be written in size 9 italic Times. An abstract in French will be joined.

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511561

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor

摘要:

The instructions put together below fall into three categories. The editor of thejournal of decision systemswould be grateful to authors for respecting these indications. At limes, the length of this summary may attain a dozen lines. It is to be written in size 9 italic Times. An abstract in French will be joined.

ISSN:1246-0125    

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511562

出版商:Taylor & Francis Group    

年代:1993

数据来源: Taylor