摘要:

ABSTRACTMost applications of shift‐share analysis to regional employment change have used a study period of several years and have examined conditions only at the beginning and end years. This comparative static approach does not take into account the continuous changes in both industrial mix and size of total employment of the region over the study period. Calculating the national growth effect, the industrial mix effect, and the competitive effect on an annual basis and then summing the results over the study period provides a more accurate allocation of job changes among the three shift‐share effects. This approach, which we term dynamic shift‐share analysis, also allows unusual years and years of economic transition to he identified. We illustrate the use of dynamic shift‐share by presenting results of an analysis of New England employment growth from 1939 to 1984, using U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The use of the dynamic form of shift‐share is important when the study period is characterized by either large changes in regional industrial mix or major differences between regional and national gro

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00465.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1988

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTThe Nearest Neighbors Appraisal Technique (NNAT) is pitted against the traditional real estate appraisal process and ordinary least squares (OLS) estimates of value for various types of commercial real estate in Dallas, Texas. Additionally, time is explicitly entered into NNAT. NNAT estimates of value are significantly more accurate than the traditional appraisal process for all types of commercial real estate, it is significantly more accurate than OLS estimates for retail and miscellaneous properties, and it is more accurate, but not significantly so, than OLS estimates for other types of commercial real estate.

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00466.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1988

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTIn this paper we examine the effects of transfers on the economies of remote regions. A model which describes the consequences of different types of transfers on settlement patterns is developed. The growth of the transfer economy in rural Alaska and its effect on population and income is reviewed. We find that transfer programs in remote regions may have consequences far broader than their original intent. While the programs may improve the standard of living for regional residents, they may also lead to inefficient settlement patterns, increasing dependence on transfers, and a higher cost of eventual adjustment.

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00467.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1988

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTThe purpose of this paper is to estimate the impacts of air pollution control strategies for one state, Kentucky, on its own economy. Effects of the Clean Air Act are estimated, but the emphasis is on scenarios for compliance with pending acid rain legislation. The most restrictive scenario involves a 478,000 ton per year reduction in SO2. Based on elasticity and engineering estimates, we project shifts from high‐sulfur Western Kentucky coal to low‐sulfur Eastern Kentucky coal, higher electric utility rates and manufacturing costs, and lower manufacturing employment. Impacts are always less than 6 percent of 1985 lev

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00468.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1988

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTThis study focuses on the location of electrical machinery manufacturing in South Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi, and Alabama (with special attention given to the first three states), and the degree to which this industry is associated with labor environments attractive to firms in the late stage of the product cycle. Labor‐environment variables were selected from published sources and then collapsed into principal components. County‐level component scores were then correlated with selected electrical machinery employment variables. The analysis suggests that, with the possible exception of electronic components manufacturing, there has been no widespread locational response by electrical machinery manufacturing in these states to labor environments attractive to firms in the late stage of the product cy

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00469.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1988

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTThis study has three purposes. The first is to determine, for the 30 largest U.S. metropolitan areas in 1980. the relationship among population size, the number of major corporations headquartered in these centers, and the number of subsidiaries located there. The expectation is that there will be positive relationships in all cases. Second, this study, based on variations in the relationships examined above, sets forth a corporate classification of the 30 metropolitan areas and identifies common characteristics and locations among six categories of centers. Finally, using the six‐fold classification of centers, metropolitan employment growth between 1980 and 1986 is analyzed, especially job growth in services and in finance, insurance, and real estate (FIRE). The six‐fold classification proves useful in understanding employment growth in these 30 centers during the 1980s and, with modifications, perhaps bey

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00470.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1988

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

Book reviews in this article:Changing Commodity RegulationJerry W. Markham, The History of Commodity Futures Trading and Its Regulation.Sitte and CitiesGeorge R. Collins and Christine Crasemann Collins,Camillo Sitte: The Birth of Modern City Planning with a Translation of the 1889 Austrian Edition of his City Planning According to Artistic Principles.Suburbs Here and AbroadDonald N. Rothblatt and Daniel J. Garr,Suburbia, an Znternutional Assessment.New Approaches to DevelopmentInderjit Singh, Lyn Squire, and John Strauss, eds.Is the U.S. Economy All Right?F. Stevens Redburn, Terry F. Buss, and Larry C. Ledebur, eds.Revitalizing the U.S. Economy.A Success StoryJohn R. Westley, Agriculture and Equitable GrowthMathematical Land Rent ModelsJames B. Kau, C.F. Lee, and C.F. Sirmans, Urban Econometrics:A Wealth of Valuable InformationF. Larry Leistritz and Brenda L. Ekstrom, Social Impact Assessment and Management

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00471.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1988

数据来源: WILEY