| 1. |
Forecast Summary |
| |
Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 2-3
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PDF (197KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00759.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 2. |
Recent Developments |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 4-5
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PDF (163KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00760.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 3. |
Assumptions |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 6-8
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PDF (279KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00761.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
|
| 4. |
The Outlook for 1981 and 1982 |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 8-15
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PDF (627KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00762.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 5. |
Focus: Data revisions |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 14-15
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PDF (110KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00763.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 6. |
Economic Viewpoint An Economy Out of Balance |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 16-23
ALAN BUDD,
GEOFFREY DICKS,
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PDF (663KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00764.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 7. |
The Recession of 1980 and its Causes* |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 24-33
ALAN BUDD,
GEOFFREY DICKS,
TONY GOSLING,
BILL ROBINSON,
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PDF (767KB)
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摘要:
During 1980 total output fell by 5% per cent and manufacturing output by 16 per cent. By May 1981 manufacturing output was 20 per cent below its 1979 peak level. in thisBriefing Paperwe use the London Business School model to explain the current recession. We conclude that the main identifiable came was the rise in the price of oil. but output was also affected by the increase in VAT and the reductions in public investment. Those cawes directly explain a reduction in output of about 3 per cent in 1980 compared with what might otherwise have happened. We suggest that additional links (not fully incorporated into the model) increased the impact of those shocks and led to the severe fall below potential output. The first part of the paper describes briefly the events of I979 and 1980. in the second part we ask how far the economic developments were predictable and in the third part we set out our explanations.
ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00765.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 8. |
UK Sector Analysis |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 34-50
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PDF (950KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00766.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 9. |
Forecast Tables |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 51-71
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PDF (1130KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00767.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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| 10. |
Discussion Papers |
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Economic Outlook,
Volume 6,
Issue 1,
1981,
Page 72-72
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PDF (60KB)
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ISSN:0140-489X
DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0319.1981.tb00768.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1981
数据来源: WILEY
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