1. |
The Development of Stratified Sampling Methods for the Agricultural Census of England and Wales |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 307-327
C. R. Orton,
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摘要:
SummaryThe history of the agricultural census, especially over the last thirty years, has been one of a growing need for information from farmers, together with a desire to keep to a minimum the burden of form‐filling imposed on farmers by this need. to further this aim, experiments in stratified sampling were carried out on the agricultural census held in 1970, as a result of which stratified samples will be used in a re‐organized system of agricultural censuses and enquiries, starting in June 1972. The results of the experimental censuses are presented and discussed, and an approach to the problem of designing samples for surveys with many questions is outlined.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344611
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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2. |
Discussion on Mr Orton's Paper |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 327-335
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1972.tb03114.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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3. |
Banker's Games and the Gaming Act 1968 |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 336-356
F. Downton,
R. L. Holder,
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摘要:
SummaryThe Gaming Clubs (Banker's Games) Regulations, 1970, which implemented that part of the Gaming Act, 1968, concerned with bankers' games came into effect on July 1st, 1970. These regulations allowed four games—roulette, dice, baccarat and blackjack—to be played in licensed clubs and laid down the rules of play. This paper examines the properties of these four permitted games. Roulette and dice, being games of pure chance, are relatively simple to analyse, but have been considered in some detail to illustrate our approach. Work on baccarat, particularlychemin‐de‐fer, has been reviewed, and the optimum strategies for the banker and for the opposing player have been given for this game. It is shown that, provided the banker uses his optimum strategy, the choice of strategy by the opposing player makes no difference to the banker's expected gain. In these circumstanceschemin‐de‐feris, in effect, a game of pure chance unless sophisticated card‐counting techniques are used.Baccarat banqueand blackjack may therefore be regarded as the only bankers' games permitted under the regulations which involve skill. Some results for these two games are presented, including a near‐optimum basic strategy for the player in the permitted version of blackjack.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344612
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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4. |
Discussion on the Paper by Professor Downton and Mr Holder |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 356-364
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1972.tb03116.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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5. |
The Proportional Decline Hypothesis in English Elections |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 365-369
A. H. Taylor,
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摘要:
SummaryA theoretical pattern of the relationships between the size of changes in party support and the previous strength of the party concerned is described, and tested using English election results from 1950 to 1970. Some parts of the patterns are found to exist, but others are not.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344613
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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6. |
Generalized Linear Models |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 370-384
J. A. Nelder,
R. W. M. Wedderburn,
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摘要:
SummaryThe technique of iterative weighted linear regression can be used to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters with observations distributed according to some exponential family and systematic effects that can be made linear by a suitable transformation. A generalization of the analysis of variance is given for these models using log‐likelihoods. These generalized linear models are illustrated by examples relating to four distributions; the Normal, Binomial (probit analysis, etc.), Poisson (contingency tables) and gamma (variance components).The implications of the approach in designing statistics courses are discussed.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344614
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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7. |
A Note on Sensitivity Analysis in Manpower Forecasting |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 385-392
B. Ahamad,
K. F. N. Scott,
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摘要:
SummaryIn projections of manpower requirements, it is common to give specific values for future expected demand for labour by occupational or educational classes. Any variance from the conditions assumed in determining such manpower requirements will modify those specific estimates. In this paper we consider the application of sensitivity analysis to this problem. We examine some possible approaches and find that computer simulation techniques most easily give quantitative results. We illustrate this with an application for Canada.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344615
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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8. |
Observations on “Spectral Analysis of Short Series—A Simulation Study” by Granger and Hughes |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 393-405
Henry R. Neave,
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摘要:
SummaryGranger and Hughes (1968) have reported the findings of a moderate‐sized simulation study into the properties of spectrum and cross‐spectrum estimators when only short or moderately short samples are available. An investigation is carried out into some apparent discrepancies between their results and some of our own, the conclusion being that they were using a different form of estimator from that stated. The two forms of estimator are compared and the discrepancies explained by empirical and theoretical means and heuristic arguments. The effect of having to estimate the mean is shown to be quite serious in short samples, and some asymptotic expressions for variance are compared with true values found in short samples.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344616
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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9. |
A Statistical Study of the Sinai Pericope |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 406-421
Ronald E. Bee,
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摘要:
SummaryThe masoretic text ofExodus19–24 and 32–34 is divided into units on the basis of the statistical methods advocated in an earlier paper. A scheme of classification of these units is proposed and its implications concerning the history of the text are examined.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344617
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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10. |
Qualified Manpower and Economic Performance—A Review Article |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 135,
Issue 3,
2018,
Page 422-427
Joan G. Cox,
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2344618
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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